Token life cycle

$GHOTC

Launched 14 Oct 19:14 on pump-fun. Tracking level: minimal — two quiet reviews, no move. Prediction data (what the frozen model knew) and outcome data (what happened) are kept in separate columns. Analyze now →

Timeline

each row is the 5-minute bucket containing the mark (the 1m row shows minutes 0–5), from the filtered trade history; reviews from adaptive tracking

markprice × refvolume 5mtrades 5mbuy sharebuyerscreator sellstop-10 %statefrozen P(2×) / P(−70%)

1m1.00×$22,55159755%2441—12.9% / 1.3%

5m0.72×$17,14447548%1680—LAUNCH33.3% / 0.7%

15m0.37×$810%00—LAUNCH3.5% / 0.3%

30m0.96× (review)$00 tx—00—DEAD

1h0.96× (review)$00 tx—00—DEAD

3hnot yetDEAD

6hnot yetDEAD

12hnot yetDEAD

1dnot yetDEAD

2dnot yetDEAD

3dnot yetDEAD

Prediction data — locked before the outcome

1m · 19:15:02 UTC

runner 62 (test-set 98th) · P(2×) 12.9% · P(10×) 2.03% · P(20×) 0.41% · P(−70%) 1.3%

active at the snapshot · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · ad827fb0490f…

5m · 19:19:02 UTC

runner 46 (test-set 95th) · P(2×) 33.3% · P(10×) 0.97% · P(20×) 0.49% · P(−70%) 0.7%

active at the snapshot · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · c46331cda5f4…

15m · 19:29:02 UTC

runner 70 (test-set 98th) · P(2×) 3.5% · P(10×) 1.87% · P(20×) 0.40% · P(−70%) 0.3%

active at the snapshot · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · 6f1e58adec68…

Outcome data — what happened afterwards

6-hour window not complete yet.

Largest single sells

$383 at 1 min (7g5CJ7…) · $352 at 6 min (H9A3Ex…) · $335 at 8 min (FZ8pXN…) · $334 at 6 min (B4stPX…) · $307 at 4 min (2woUZT…)

▸Tracking transitions

19:18

new → active

92 successful transactions in the first 4 minutes, 92 after the first minute

20:14

active → minimal

two quiet reviews, no move